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Sunday 2026-09-13 · 13:00
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Spread -1.5
O/U 44.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
Predicted Final Score
BUF
26
–
HOU
21
Projected margin: BUF by 5
Projected total: 47
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 1
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.