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Best Bets — Week 7

This week's most confident calls: every game at 'clear edge' or better (see Track Record), sorted by how favored the pick is. Not the same as Value Picks -- this is how sure the model is of its own number, regardless of what the betting line says.

See the Full Track Record →

2025 2026

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 WC DIV CON SB

LV @

Model: KC 75.0% · strong edge

KC offense: +0.097 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)

NYG @

DEN

Model: DEN 72.9% · strong edge

DEN defense: -0.138 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)

NE @

TEN

Model: NE 72.2% · strong edge

TEN offense: -0.187 EPA/play over its last 8 games (31st in the league)

PIT @

CIN

Model: PIT 63.8% · clear edge

CIN offense: -0.113 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)

LA @

JAX

Model: LA 62.7% · clear edge

Neutral site — no home-field edge