Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Denver Broncos 4th & 8 at the 88

Denver Broncos 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(8:36) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 43 yards to SEA 45, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.57 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +1.02 EP
60% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 88, worth -4.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model