Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Denver Broncos 4th & 6 at the 62

Denver Broncos 14 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(1:49) 16-J.Crawshaw punts 49 yards to SEA 13, Center-48-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.90 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.21 EP
59% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 62, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model