Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 84

New York Giants 10 – New Orleans Saints 17

(10:44) 15-J.Stout punts 59 yards to NO 25, Center-58-B.Mann. 19-B.Brown pushed ob at NO 48 for 23 yards (28-E.Campbell).

The Three Options

GO -2.45 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 76, worth +1.00 EP
60% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 84, worth -4.76 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model