Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 2 at the 76

Los Angeles Chargers 3 – Kansas City Chiefs 16

(:36) 16-J.Scott punts 53 yards to KC 23, Center-47-J.Harris. 81-N.Remigio pushed ob at KC 30 for 7 yards (32-K.Williamson; 43-T.Dye).

The Three Options

GO -1.20 EP

61% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +0.58 EP
39% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 76, worth -3.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model