Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 15 at the 62

Baltimore Ravens 10 – Cleveland Browns 0

(:07) 30-R.Eckley punts 52 yards to CLE 10, Center-46-N.Moore, downed by BAL-38-K.Martin.

The Three Options

GO -0.97 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +0.86 EP
71% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 62, worth -1.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model