Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 8 at the 69

Baltimore Ravens 10 – Cleveland Browns 0

(1:42) 30-R.Eckley punts 40 yards to CLE 29, Center-46-N.Moore, fair catch by 1-K.Concepcion.

The Three Options

GO -1.59 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.75 EP
61% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 69, worth -3.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model