Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 11 at the 82

Tennessee Titans 7 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(:17) 3-T.Townsend punts 63 yards to BAL 19, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.95 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.03 EP
67% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 82, worth -4.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model