Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 7 at the 94

Arizona Cardinals 24 – New York Giants 27

(4:53) 12-B.Gillikin punts 44 yards to 50, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 89-C.Jones.

The Three Options

GO -2.82 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 87, worth +0.36 EP
55% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 94, worth -5.42 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (111 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model