Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 9 at the 60

Tennessee Titans 17 – Philadelphia Eagles 17

(12:46) 3-T.Townsend punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-46-M.Cox, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.73 EP
67% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 60, worth -2.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model