Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 10 at the 72

Minnesota Vikings 6 – Chicago Bears 3

(:34) 19-B.Thorson punts 62 yards to CHI 10, Center-42-A.DePaola. 14-K.Raymond ran ob at CHI 34 for 24 yards (42-A.DePaola).

The Three Options

GO -1.85 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.06 EP
65% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 72, worth -3.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model