Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Carolina Panthers 4th & 13 at the 63

Carolina Panthers 7 – Chicago Bears 7

(4:22) 6-S.Martin punts 30 yards to CHI 33, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +3.02 EP
69% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 63, worth -3.40 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model