Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 58

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Atlanta Falcons 0

(13:58) 19-C.Johnston punts 41 yards to ATL 17, Center-46-C.Kuntz, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.37 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +3.25 EP
58% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 58, worth -2.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model