Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 65

Los Angeles Rams 17 – Carolina Panthers 14

(14:45) 42-E.Evans punts 52 yards to CAR 13, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 23-T.Etienne.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.31 EP
62% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model