Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 94

Cleveland Browns 8 – San Francisco 49ers 17

(:38) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 43 yards to CLE 49, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 9-S.Moore to CLE 47 for 2 yards (31-D.McMillon; 41-C.Edmonds).

The Three Options

GO -3.21 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 85, worth +0.61 EP
62% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 94, worth -5.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (111 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model