Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 8 at the 71

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(1:36) 17-R.Wright punts 55 yards to SEA 16, Center-42-A.DePaola. 22-R.Shaheed pushed ob at SEA 32 for 16 yards (56-A.Keys).

The Three Options

GO -2.06 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +1.64 EP
63% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 71, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model