Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 19 at the 89

Los Angeles Chargers 17 – Tennessee Titans 17

(4:00) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to TEN 43, Center-41-R.Lovato, fair catch by 17-C.Dike. Penalty on TEN-52-J.Williams, Defensive Offside, declined.

The Three Options

GO -3.10 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.28 EP
69% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 89, worth -5.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model