Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 11 at the 60

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(7:43) 9-L.Cooke punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.03 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +3.05 EP
66% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 60, worth -3.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model