Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 77

Seattle Seahawks 10 – Jacksonville Jaguars 6

(5:14) 4-M.Dickson punts 55 yards to JAX 22, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 11-P.Washington.

The Three Options

GO -2.00 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.25 EP
57% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 77, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model