Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 13 at the 66

Cleveland Browns 7 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(4:13) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 55 yards to MIN 11, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.86 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +2.64 EP
74% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 66, worth -3.47 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model