Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 8 at the 54

Cleveland Browns 7 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(14:37) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 33 yards to MIN 21, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.87 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +3.12 EP
68% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 54, worth -2.73 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model