Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New Orleans Saints 4th & 12 at the 70

New Orleans Saints 0 – Seattle Seahawks 14

(4:58) 32-K.Kroeger punt is BLOCKED by 23-D.Bell, Center-49-Z.Wood, recovered by NO-53-J.Ford at NO 11.

The Three Options

GO -2.26 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +1.89 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 70, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model