Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 6 at the 68

New Orleans Saints 3 – Seattle Seahawks 28

(9:44) 32-K.Kroeger punts 55 yards to SEA 13, Center-49-Z.Wood. 15-T.Horton ran ob at SEA 24 for 11 yards (28-D.Stutsman).

The Three Options

GO -1.57 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.88 EP
59% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 68, worth -4.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model