Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 8 at the 78

Cleveland Browns 7 – Cincinnati Bengals 7

(8:42) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 55 yards to CIN 23, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 15-C.Jones to CIN 46 for 23 yards (31-D.McMillon).

The Three Options

GO -1.95 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.82 EP
63% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 78, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (95 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model