Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 9 at the 63

Los Angeles Chargers 6 – Houston Texans 0

(2:48) 16-J.Scott punts 35 yards to HOU 28, Center-47-J.Harris, downed by LAC-47-J.Harris.

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.36 EP
63% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 63, worth -3.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model