Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 66

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 3

(8:28) 8-C.Waitman punts 47 yards to PHI 19, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 33-C.DeJean to PHI 21 for 2 yards (42-J.Pierre; 28-M.Killebrew).

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +1.84 EP
63% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 66, worth -3.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model