Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 13 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Green Bay Packers 7

(6:50) 4-M.Dickson punts 43 yards to GB 20, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 11-J.Reed.

The Three Options

GO -1.42 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +3.02 EP
70% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 63, worth -3.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model