Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 15 at the 75

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 – Cleveland Browns 7

(4:43) 8-C.Waitman punts 38 yards to CLE 37, Center-46-C.Kuntz, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.10 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.37 EP
69% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 75, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model