Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 10 at the 70

Tennessee Titans 13 – Washington Commanders 35

(13:59) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 52 yards to WAS 18, Center-46-M.Cox. 14-O.Zaccheaus to WAS 29 for 11 yards (81-J.Whyle; 80-B.Oliver).

The Three Options

GO -1.97 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.89 EP
67% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 70, worth -3.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model