Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 66

Los Angeles Chargers 16 – Baltimore Ravens 23

(10:52) 16-J.Scott punts 38 yards to BAL 28, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.08 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.08 EP
56% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 66, worth -3.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model