Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 14 at the 91

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(12:47) 4-M.Dickson punts 41 yards to 50, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-18-J.Ross.

The Three Options

GO -3.12 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 77, worth +1.14 EP
67% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 91, worth -5.21 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model