Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 17 at the 69

Seattle Seahawks 13 – Los Angeles Rams 20

What Actually Happened

(3:09) 4-M.Dickson punts 49 yards to LA 20, Center-41-C.Stoll. 19-X.Smith pushed ob at LA 28 for 8 yards (32-J.Reed). ** Injury Update: LA-30-J.Wallace has returned to the game.

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +1.96 EP
71% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 69, worth -3.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model