Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Atlanta Falcons 4th & 8 at the 68

Atlanta Falcons 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(13:11) 13-B.Pinion punts 43 yards to DAL 25, Center-49-L.McCullough, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.07 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.65 EP
58% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 68, worth -3.76 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model