Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Carolina Panthers 4th & 6 at the 95

Carolina Panthers 7 – Denver Broncos 0

(:31) 10-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to DEN 45, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-M.Mims.

The Three Options

GO -3.69 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 89, worth -0.62 EP
59% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 95, worth -5.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (112 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model