Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 64

Seattle Seahawks 24 – Atlanta Falcons 14

(:17) 4-M.Dickson punts 41 yards to ATL 23, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 26-A.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -1.24 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.03 EP
58% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 64, worth -3.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model