Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 6 at the 72

San Francisco 49ers 3 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(:19) 3-M.Wishnowsky punts 43 yards to SEA 29, Center-46-T.Pepper, fair catch by 33-D.Williams.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.32 EP
54% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 72, worth -4.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model