Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 12 at the 72

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 – Las Vegas Raiders 7

(2:57) 8-C.Waitman punts 47 yards to LV 25, Center-46-C.Kuntz. 8-A.Abdullah pushed ob at LV 25 for no gain (38-T.Edmunds).

The Three Options

GO -2.41 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.78 EP
67% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 72, worth -4.44 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model