Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 16 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 13 – New York Giants 23

(9:40) 4-M.Dickson punts 48 yards to NYG 19, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 87-I.Smith-Marsette.

The Three Options

GO -1.83 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.66 EP
70% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 67, worth -3.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model