Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 66

Seattle Seahawks 14 – New England Patriots 13

(1:43) 4-M.Dickson punts 58 yards to NE 8, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.29 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.92 EP
58% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 66, worth -3.64 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model