Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 5 at the 61

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(5:50) 5-J.Camarda punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-97-Z.Triner, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.06 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +1.87 EP
54% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 61, worth -3.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model