Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 7 at the 76

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6 – Carolina Panthers 0

(6:08) 5-J.Camarda punts 59 yards to CAR 17, Center-97-Z.Triner. 11-I.Smith-Marsette to CAR 46 for 29 yards (8-S.Dennis).

The Three Options

GO -2.12 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.16 EP
58% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.53 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model