Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 6 at the 71

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 – New Orleans Saints 17

(14:07) 5-J.Camarda punts 37 yards to NO 34, Center-97-Z.Triner, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.36 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.94 EP
55% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 71, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model