Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 12 at the 83

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 10

(:37) 4-M.Dickson punts 56 yards to PHI 27, Center-41-C.Stoll. 18-B.Covey to PHI 32 for 5 yards (20-J.Love).

The Three Options

GO -2.56 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +0.57 EP
66% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 83, worth -4.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model