Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 12 at the 64

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Las Vegas Raiders 21

(15:00) 16-J.Scott punts 46 yards to LV 18, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 3-D.Carter.

The Three Options

GO -1.84 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.46 EP
70% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 64, worth -3.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model