Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 2 at the 82

Carolina Panthers 3 – Tennessee Titans 14

(:35) 10-J.Hekker punts 44 yards to TEN 38, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 33-E.Garror.

The Three Options

GO -1.51 EP

62% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.33 EP
38% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 82, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model