Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 17 at the 75

Tennessee Titans 7 – Carolina Panthers 3

(6:46) 4-R.Stonehouse punts 71 yards to CAR 4, Center-46-M.Cox, downed by TEN-40-A.Kendall.

The Three Options

GO -2.50 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.08 EP
72% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model