Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cleveland Browns 4th & 8 at the 73

Cleveland Browns 10 – Pittsburgh Steelers 10

(5:53) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 25 yards to PIT 48, Center-47-C.Hughlett, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.03 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.28 EP
63% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 73, worth -3.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model