Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 15 at the 80

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(9:09) 9-L.Cooke punts 51 yards to SF 29, Center-46-R.Matiscik. 3-R.McCloud ran ob at SF 38 for 9 yards (48-C.Muma).

The Three Options

GO -2.58 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.01 EP
71% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 80, worth -4.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model