Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 79

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Green Bay Packers 7

(12:59) 42-E.Evans punts 41 yards to GB 38, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.34 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.14 EP
61% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 79, worth -4.57 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model